top of page

Research Repository

This collection brings together work based on the Millennium Institute's models: the iSD model and its predecessor, Threshold 21 (T21). It includes reports and papers by the Millennium Institute and its partners, as well as research by universities, institutions and independent researchers who have applied these models in their own work.​

​

The collection spans three decades of work, from the first T21 applications in the 1990s to current analyses of the Sustainable Development Goals, climate policy and green transitions in more than 40 countries. Use the filters to browse by type, country or region, focus area and year.

Journal Article

Next Generation National SDGs Assessments: From Progress Reporting to Exploring Policy Pathways and Causal Dynamics

To address the lack of analytical depth in current SDG reporting, this study proposes a comprehensive "third generation" assessment framework using Australia as a case study. By analyzing policy pathways, spillovers, and causal dynamics, the findings identify three key priorities: reversing social backsliding (poverty/health), leveraging the renewable energy transition, and managing future policy trade-offs. This methodology offers a transferable model for other nations to move beyond descriptive reporting toward integrated, forward-looking strategies, providing a robust foundation for the post-2030 sustainable development agenda.

2025

Australia

Sustainable Development, Policy Analysis, Energy, Poverty & Inequality

Report

Foresight for the Transformation of Agrifood Systems through Agroecology: Guidance Document for Decision Makers and Practitioners

This guidance document, developed by FAO, CIRAD, and GIZ, analyzes 16 foresight processes to explore how agroecology can support the transformation of food systems. It examines methodologies, scenarios, and stakeholder participation, emphasizing the political nature of transformation and the need for inclusive, systemic, and participatory approaches. The findings highlight the diversity of foresight methods, including modeling tools such as the iSDG, and provide recommendations to strengthen the integration of agroecology into foresight, offering decision-makers and practitioners pathways toward more sustainable food systems.

2025

Global

Agriculture, Environmental Policy, Food Security

Report

Global Environment Outlook 7 (GEO-7)

The Global Environment Outlook 7 (GEO-7) assesses global environmental trends and explores pathways for transformative change across development contexts. Millennium Institute contributed to Chapters 19 and 20, focusing on environmental challenges across income groups and a regional case study on green hydrogen. The report underscores the importance of context-sensitive and system-aware approaches to environmental policy.

2025

Global

Agriculture, Climate Change, Sustainable Development, Environmental Policy

Report

Building Resilience: Addressing Climate Change Threat Multipliers in Zambia Using the iSD Model

Using the iSD model, this study shows that implementing Zambia's NDC and Green Growth Strategy would raise human development and SDG attainment by 2050 while building resilience to climate threats.

2025

Zambia

Climate Change, Sustainable Development, Economy

Journal Article

Participatory modelling and scenario exploration to address the air pollution challenge in Thailand and Laos

A participatory System Dynamics study in Thailand and Lao PDR examined drivers and policy options for managing transboundary air pollution. Using an Integrated Air Pollution (IAP) model for Chiang Rai and Vientiane, stakeholders identified key emission sources and tested interventions. Projections showed major PM2.5 reductions from targeting waste burning, household cooking, and transport. The study demonstrated the value of participatory modeling for informing evidence-based air quality policies.

2025

Thailand and Laos

Policy Analysis, Environmental Policy, Climate Change

Working Paper

Making stakeholder knowledge on SDG interaction explicit: a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) approach

Comparing stakeholder causal loop diagrams with the iSDG-AT model for Austria, this working paper finds household income links poverty, growth and climate goals, with clear trade-offs for climate action.

2025

Austria

Sustainable Development, Policy Analysis, Climate Change, Poverty & Inequality

Filters

Categories
1995
1996.1
1997.2
1998.3
1999.4
2000.5
2001.6
2002.7
2003.8
2004.9
2006
2007.1
2008.2
2009.3
2010.4
2011.5
2012.6
2013.7
2014.8
2015.9
2017
2018.1
2019.2
2020.3
2021.4
2022.5
2023.6
2024.7
2025.8
2026
Authorship
bottom of page